Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 2,5500%
Above 2,7000%
Above 2,8500%
Above 3,0000%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 2,550
0%0%
Above 2,700
0%0%
Above 2,850
0%0%
Above 3,000
0%0%
Above 3,150
0%0%
Above 3,300
0%0%
Above 3,450
0%0%
Above 3,600
0%0%
Above 3,750
0%0%
Rules
The Baltic Exchange publishes the Baltic Dry Index, and the deciding value is its published daily value on October 30, 2026. The outcome is Yes if the index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 8:00 AM CT when the index is published (7:00 AM CT when daylight saving time shifts the CT and UTC offset). If the Baltic Exchange has an unscheduled closure, the next available published value is used. Early resolution does not apply, and if the index value is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The Baltic Dry Index is a widely followed gauge of the cost of shipping dry bulk commodities such as iron ore, coal, and grain by sea. The event is the index level on October 30, 2026.