Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 2.2%98%
Above 1.6%98%
Above 2.0%97%
Above 1.8%97%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 2.2%
0%98%
Above 1.6%
0%98%
Above 2.0%
0%97%
Above 1.8%
0%97%
Above 2.6%
0%96%
Above 2.4%
0%96%
Above 2.8%
2%91%
Above 3.0%
0%70%
Above 3.2%
0%28%
Above 3.4%
0%1%
Above 3.6%
0%1%
Rules
The outcome is decided by the year-over-year percent change in the Consumer Price Index for September 2026, as published by Statistics Canada in its monthly CPI release (the 12-month change), typically issued on the third Tuesday of the following month at 7:30 AM CT (the fourth Tuesday in June for the May reference month). The outcome is Yes if that change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from the value as first published in that release, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The Consumer Price Index tracks the prices consumers in Canada pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The measure is the year-over-year percent change in the Consumer Price Index for September 2026, comparing that month's index level with the level for the same month one year earlier.