Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 5.8%97%
Above 6.0%95%
Above 6.2%78%
Above 6.4%41%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 5.8%
0%97%
Above 6.0%
0%95%
Above 6.2%
0%78%
Above 6.4%$560 Vol.
2%41%
Above 6.6%
0%10%
Above 6.8%
0%1%
Rules
The outcome is decided by the monthly unemployment rate for Canada for September 2026, as published by Statistics Canada, using the rate stated in the first paragraph of its monthly Labour Force Survey release, typically published at 7:30 AM CT on the first non-holiday Friday of the following month. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from that first release when it is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The unemployment rate is the share of the labor force that is out of work and looking for a job. The measure is the unemployment rate for Canada in September 2026, expressed as the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force.