Yes65%
No35%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Hike 25 Bps68%
No Change31%
Cut 25 Bps2%
Hike 50 Bps or More1%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Hike 25 Bps$1.2K Vol.
0%68%
No Change$2.6K Vol.
4%31%
Cut 25 Bps
0%2%
Hike 50 Bps or More
0%1%
Cut 50 Bps or More
0%1%
Rules
The outcome is based on the Fed's announcement at the close of its scheduled meeting, released at 1:00 PM CT. Rate moves outside of a scheduled meeting do not apply. If the Fed delays its announcement, resolution is delayed until it is released.
About
The federal funds rate is the Fed's main tool for influencing the economy. A higher rate slows borrowing and spending, a lower rate encourages it. This market asks whether the Fed will raise, lower, or hold that rate at its next FOMC meeting.