The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publish the deciding data. The condition is decided first, solely by the final result of the Fed Decision product (FFDEC) for the change in the federal funds target range the FOMC announces at the meeting specified in the market question, and it is met if that change matches the decision specified in the market question. If the condition is met, positions continue automatically and the outcome is decided by the year-over-year percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, in the initial BLS release for November 2026: Yes if that change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BLS publishes that CPI report at 7:30 AM CT, later revisions do not affect the outcome, and early resolution does not apply. If the deciding data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. If the condition is not met, there is no Yes or No outcome: all positions are closed out at the price paid to acquire them, with no gain or loss, and transaction fees are not refunded.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publish the deciding data. The condition is decided first, solely by the final result of the Fed Decision product (FFDEC) for the change in the federal funds target range the FOMC announces at the meeting specified in the market question, and it is met if that change matches the decision specified in the market question. If the condition is met, positions continue automatically and the outcome is decided by the year-over-year percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, in the initial BLS release for November 2026: Yes if that change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BLS publishes that CPI report at 7:30 AM CT, later revisions do not affect the outcome, and early resolution does not apply. If the deciding data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. If the condition is not met, there is no Yes or No outcome: all positions are closed out at the price paid to acquire them, with no gain or loss, and transaction fees are not refunded.