Yes65%
No35%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 5.70%
Above 5.80%
Above 5.90%
Above 60%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 5.7
0%0%
Above 5.8
0%0%
Above 5.9
0%0%
Above 6
0%0%
Above 6.1
0%0%
Above 6.2
0%0%
Above 6.3
0%0%
Rules
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) publishes the Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update, including the average retail price of regular gasoline for California. Using only the report’s initial release, the outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the dollar-per-gallon value specified in the market question, and No otherwise; subsequent revisions do not affect the outcome. The value becomes final on October 20, 2026 when the EIA publishes the report, subject to delays or schedule changes by the EIA and any applicable event review process.
About
Regular gasoline prices represent the average retail price of gasoline in a specified area. The outcome is Yes if California’s average retail price of regular gasoline for the week ending October 19, 2026 exceeds the dollar-per-gallon value specified in the market question.