Yes65%
No35%
Sep 11Sep 18Sep 25Oct 3Oct 11
100%75%50%25%0%
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the official daily settlement price of the front-month Henry Hub natural gas futures contract for October 12, 2026; the front-month contract is the nearest-to-expiration listed contract, used through and including its final settlement date. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the settlement value published for that trading day counts, and later revisions to settlement data or settlement values for other contract months are not considered. The outcome is determined at 11:55 PM CT on October 12, 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
Henry Hub natural gas is a globally traded commodity, and a futures contract on it is an agreement to buy or sell a set amount at a set price on a future date. The measure is the price of Henry Hub natural gas on October 12, 2026, taken as the official daily settlement price of the front-month, or nearest expiring, Henry Hub natural gas futures contract.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the official daily settlement price of the front-month Henry Hub natural gas futures contract for October 12, 2026; the front-month contract is the nearest-to-expiration listed contract, used through and including its final settlement date. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the settlement value published for that trading day counts, and later revisions to settlement data or settlement values for other contract months are not considered. The outcome is determined at 11:55 PM CT on October 12, 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
Henry Hub natural gas is a globally traded commodity, and a futures contract on it is an agreement to buy or sell a set amount at a set price on a future date. The measure is the price of Henry Hub natural gas on October 12, 2026, taken as the official daily settlement price of the front-month, or nearest expiring, Henry Hub natural gas futures contract.