Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 30,00097%
Above 30,30088%
Above 30,50077%
Above 30,60069%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 30,000$80 Vol.
0%97%
Above 30,300$4 Vol.
0%88%
Above 30,500$2 Vol.
0%77%
Above 30,600$20 Vol.
0%69%
Above 30,800$30 Vol.
0%49%
Above 30,900$20 Vol.
0%48%
Above 31,000$26 Vol.
0%35%
Above 31,100$38 Vol.
0%24%
Above 31,300$116 Vol.
0%5%
Above 30,700
0%0%
Above 29,700
0%0%
Above 29,800
0%0%
Above 29,900
0%0%
Above 30,100
0%0%
Above 30,200
0%0%
Above 30,400
0%0%
Above 31,200
0%0%
Above 31,400
0%0%
Above 31,500
0%0%
Rules
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the CME daily settlement price, on October 2, 2026, of the E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index futures contract month specified in the market question, which is the lead month, or the second month on a day when the lead month goes through final settlement. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when CME makes the final version of its daily settlement bulletin for that date available, at 10:00 AM CT on the next business day, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement bulletin is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The Nasdaq-100 is a stock index that tracks 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The event is the daily settlement price of E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures, electronically traded contracts sized at a fraction of the standard Nasdaq-100 futures contract, for a set contract month on October 2, 2026.