Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 3580%
Above 3590%
Above 3600%
Above 3610%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 358
0%0%
Above 359
0%0%
Above 360
0%0%
Above 361
0%0%
Above 362
0%0%
Above 363
0%0%
Above 364
0%0%
Above 365
0%0%
Above 366
0%0%
Rules
The Bureau of Labor Statistics determines the outcome using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), specifically the New York, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The outcome is Yes if the published value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on November 10, 2026, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the unadjusted, all-items CPI for New York published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.