Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 7357%
Above 7442%
Above 7636%
Above 7535%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 73$960 Vol.
0%57%
Above 74$1.2K Vol.
0%42%
Above 76$700 Vol.
0%36%
Above 75$1.5K Vol.
0%35%
Above 77$610 Vol.
0%26%
Above 78$550 Vol.
0%24%
Above 80$320 Vol.
0%17%
Above 79$520 Vol.
0%15%
Above 81$340 Vol.
0%13%
Above 83$214 Vol.
0%10%
Above 82$400 Vol.
0%8%
Rules
This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated San Francisco station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for October 1, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. 
About
San Francisco’s daily high temperature is the peak air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.