The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publish the deciding data. The condition is decided first, solely by the final result of the US Unemployment Rate product (UNR), which uses the US U-3 unemployment rate published by BLS in The Employment Situation for December 2026, and it is met if that rate is above the value specified in the market question. If the condition is met, positions continue automatically and the outcome is decided by the Final Reading (third estimate) of quarter-over-quarter US real GDP published by BEA: Yes if two consecutive readings are negative by the end of the quarter specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BEA publishes the relevant Final Reading at 7:30 AM CT, and the outcome can be decided early once two consecutive negative readings are published. If the deciding data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. If the condition is not met, there is no Yes or No outcome: all positions are closed out at the price paid to acquire them, with no gain or loss, and transaction fees are not refunded.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publish the deciding data. The condition is decided first, solely by the final result of the US Unemployment Rate product (UNR), which uses the US U-3 unemployment rate published by BLS in The Employment Situation for December 2026, and it is met if that rate is above the value specified in the market question. If the condition is met, positions continue automatically and the outcome is decided by the Final Reading (third estimate) of quarter-over-quarter US real GDP published by BEA: Yes if two consecutive readings are negative by the end of the quarter specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BEA publishes the relevant Final Reading at 7:30 AM CT, and the outcome can be decided early once two consecutive negative readings are published. If the deciding data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. If the condition is not met, there is no Yes or No outcome: all positions are closed out at the price paid to acquire them, with no gain or loss, and transaction fees are not refunded.