The outcome is decided by the weekly national average 15-year fixed-rate mortgage interest rate in Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, shown under US 15-Year FRM in its weekly dataset, for the week ending October 15, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined when Freddie Mac publishes the survey, on Thursdays at 11:00 AM CT, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the weekly national average 15-year fixed-rate mortgage interest rate in Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, shown under US 15-Year FRM in its weekly dataset, for the week ending October 15, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined when Freddie Mac publishes the survey, on Thursdays at 11:00 AM CT, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.