The deciding value is the US Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100) published by The Conference Board for October 2026, as stated in the first sentence of its monthly press release. The outcome is Yes if the index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when The Conference Board publishes the index at 9:00 AM CT, typically on the last Tuesday of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if The Conference Board delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is the US Consumer Confidence Index (1985 = 100) published by The Conference Board for October 2026, as stated in the first sentence of its monthly press release. The outcome is Yes if the index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when The Conference Board publishes the index at 9:00 AM CT, typically on the last Tuesday of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if The Conference Board delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.