The deciding value is the year-over-year percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in its monthly Consumer Price Index report for September 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts: the value becomes final when BLS publishes the report at 7:30 AM CT, and later revisions do not change the outcome. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is the year-over-year percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in its monthly Consumer Price Index report for September 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts: the value becomes final when BLS publishes the report at 7:30 AM CT, and later revisions do not change the outcome. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.