The deciding value is the Index of Consumer Sentiment in the University of Michigan's monthly Final Results report for October 2026; the preliminary reading does not count. The outcome is Yes if the final index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the University of Michigan publishes the Final Results at 9:00 AM CT, typically on the last Friday of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if the University of Michigan delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is the Index of Consumer Sentiment in the University of Michigan's monthly Final Results report for October 2026; the preliminary reading does not count. The outcome is Yes if the final index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the University of Michigan publishes the Final Results at 9:00 AM CT, typically on the last Friday of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if the University of Michigan delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.