Yes65%
No35%
Sep 14Sep 21Sep 29Oct 6Oct 14
100%75%50%25%0%
The deciding value is the midpoint of the federal funds target range set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), as shown in the latest entry of the Level (%) column in the Federal Reserve's official table of target range changes after the meeting ending on October 28, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that midpoint is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 1:00 PM CT when the FOMC publishes its decision at the conclusion of the meeting. Early resolution does not apply, and if the FOMC delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
The federal funds rate is the rate at which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other overnight, and the FOMC sets a target range for it. The event is the midpoint of the target range set at the FOMC meeting ending on October 28, 2026.
The deciding value is the midpoint of the federal funds target range set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), as shown in the latest entry of the Level (%) column in the Federal Reserve's official table of target range changes after the meeting ending on October 28, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that midpoint is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 1:00 PM CT when the FOMC publishes its decision at the conclusion of the meeting. Early resolution does not apply, and if the FOMC delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
The federal funds rate is the rate at which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other overnight, and the FOMC sets a target range for it. The event is the midpoint of the target range set at the FOMC meeting ending on October 28, 2026.