Yes65%
No35%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 4.250%
Above 4.30%
Above 4.350%
Above 4.40%
Aug 29Sep 6Sep 13Sep 21Sep 28
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 4.25
0%0%
Above 4.3
0%0%
Above 4.35
0%0%
Above 4.4
0%0%
Above 4.45
0%0%
Above 4.5
0%0%
Above 4.55
0%0%
Above 4.6
0%0%
Above 4.65
0%0%
Rules
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) publishes the Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update, including the US average retail price of regular gasoline. Using the report’s published value for the US row in the U.S. Regular Gasoline Prices table, the outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the dollar-per-gallon value specified in the market question, and No otherwise. The value becomes final on October 27, 2026 when the EIA publishes the report at 09:00 AM CT, subject to delays or schedule changes by the EIA and any applicable event review process.
About
Regular gasoline prices represent the average retail price of gasoline in a specified area. The outcome is Yes if the US average retail price of regular gasoline for the week ending October 26, 2026 exceeds the dollar-per-gallon value specified in the market question.