Yes65%
No35%
Sep 20Sep 28Oct 5Oct 13Oct 20
100%75%50%25%0%
The deciding value is the US regular gasoline retail price, in US dollars per gallon, shown in the first row of the US Regular Gasoline Prices table in the weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update published by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending November 9, 2026. The outcome is Yes if the price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when EIA publishes the update at 9:00 AM CT, normally on Tuesday, or on Wednesday when Tuesday is a US government holiday. Early resolution does not apply, and if EIA delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
Retail gasoline prices are the prices drivers pay per gallon at gas stations. The measure is the national average retail price of regular-grade gasoline in the US for the week ending November 9, 2026, in US dollars per gallon.