Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
>0.05%1%
>0.15%1%
>0.25%1%
>0.35%1%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
>0.05%
0%1%
>0.15%
0%1%
>0.25%
0%1%
>0.35%
0%1%
>0.45%
0%1%
>0.55%
0%1%
>0.65%
0%1%
Rules
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) publishes the deciding data in the Electric Power Monthly, shown in its Electricity Data Browser as Net Generation for all sectors. The share is annual net generation from petroleum divided by total annual net generation across all fuel types in the United States for the year specified in the market question, using the initial release of those annual figures; later revisions do not affect the outcome. The outcome is Yes if that share is more than the value specified in the market question and No otherwise, and the value becomes final when EIA publishes the Electric Power Monthly with that initial annual data. Early resolution does not apply, and if EIA delays the release, resolution waits until it is published.
About
A fuel source's share of electricity generation is the portion of all electricity produced that comes from that source. The event is annual net electricity generation from petroleum as a percentage of total US net electricity generation from all sources over a calendar year.