Finding markets on Lumina

What's listed

Markets are grouped into categories such as Economy (inflation, employment, housing, Fed rates), Politics (US races and elections around the world), Climate (daily temperatures, hurricanes, climate change), Crypto, Finance, Culture (music, film, awards), and Tech & Science (AI, space, health). Each category narrows into subcategories, and new markets are listed continually.

What separates one category from another is mostly what decides its outcome: an agency's data release, an official election result, a weather station's reading, a price feed. Markets explained → goes through how each kind settles.

How a market is built

A market is one question. Most questions have more than two possible answers, so most markets hold several contracts, and each contract is its own Yes-or-No question with its own price. Four shapes cover nearly everything:

The shape tells you how the prices relate. On a ladder, every higher threshold is harder to clear, so Yes prices step down as you climb: if the high tops 87°F it has also topped 86°F, and Above 86°F can't sensibly cost less than Above 87°F. On a list where exactly one outcome happens, the Yes prices across the list add up to roughly $1.

Picking the contract is part of the trade. A trader who expects a warm day but not a record one is looking at a different rung from a trader who expects a heat wave. Your first position → walks through choosing one and placing the order.

Markets that recur

Many questions come back on a schedule. There's a daily-high market for dozens of cities every day, an egg-price market every month, an unemployment market for every release. Each one is a new market with its own date, rules and contracts, and the date is part of the question. Series vs contract → covers how a recurring question and its dated markets relate.

Where to look in the app

• Home opens on Trending and switches to live events, popular markets, newly listed ones and markets closing soon, or to a category and its subcategories. Sort and filter reorders the feed by volume or by what ends soonest, so "what resolves this week" is one sort away.
• Live groups markets by when they happen: today, tomorrow, upcoming and recently closed. It's the quickest route to the markets on tonight's data release or this week's decision.
• Search matches market names as you type. With nothing typed, it shows topic cards, your recent searches and popular markets.
• Watchlist. Tap the bookmark on any market to save it. The watchlist splits into Active and Expired and can be searched. Adding and removing is free.
• On a market's page, the Related tab lists markets on connected questions, and the price chart covers six hours to all time, with volume alongside.

Notification preferences, including trade confirmations and market news, are under Settings → Notifications.

Topic pages on the website

The website's topic pages gather the markets on one subject, with the current prices and how they've moved:

• 2026 midterm markets →
• Fed rate markets →

Telling an active market from a quiet one

Two numbers on a market's page show how much trading is behind a price.

A busy market has steady volume and a narrow spread; a quiet one can show a price that only a handful of trades produced. Liquidity → and how to read a prediction market price → cover what that means for the price you see.