As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, Lumina’s “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026” market prices "Above 110" at 62% and "Above 112" at 34%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The official national statistics agency of India publishes the deciding data, and the outcome is decided by the consumer price index level for India for December 2026. Only the initial value in the official release counts, and later revisions are not used. The outcome is Yes if that level is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is decided once that initial release is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
India's consumer price index is the official index of prices paid by consumers in India for a basket of goods and services. The measure is the level of India's consumer price index for a given reference month, expressed as an index number relative to its base period.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026” market ask?
Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 110” pays $1 if the result is above 110, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Above 96” to “Above 116”.
What are the current odds for “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, Lumina’s “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026” market prices "Above 110" at 62% and "Above 112" at 34%.
How have the odds moved for “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, "Above 110" is at 62%, up 2 points from the prior trading day’s close.
Which range is most likely for “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, the prices put the result above 110 but not above 112 at 28%, the most likely band on the ladder.
What does the price of "Above 110" mean in the “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 110" trades at 62¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
How active is the “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, open interest is $3.7K.
When does trading close on “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Jan 12, 2027, 6:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Jan 12, 2027, 8:00 am ET.
How does “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The official national statistics agency of India publishes the deciding data, and the outcome is decided by the consumer price index level for India for December 2026. Only the initial value in the official release counts, and later revisions are not used. The outcome is Yes if that level is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is decided once that initial release is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is Government of India Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Consumer Price Index of India in December 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
