The outcome is decided by the federal funds target range decision that the Federal Reserve publishes in its statement at 1:00 PM CT at the conclusion of the scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December 2026, as recorded in the Federal Reserve's official table of target range changes. The change is measured in basis points against the range in effect immediately before that announcement, and a decision that leaves the range unchanged counts as no change. The outcome is Yes if the change matches the move specified in the market question, such as a hike of at least a given size, no change, or a cut, and No otherwise. The outcome is final when the decision is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the federal funds target range decision that the Federal Reserve publishes in its statement at 1:00 PM CT at the conclusion of the scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December 2026, as recorded in the Federal Reserve's official table of target range changes. The change is measured in basis points against the range in effect immediately before that announcement, and a decision that leaves the range unchanged counts as no change. The outcome is Yes if the change matches the move specified in the market question, such as a hike of at least a given size, no change, or a cut, and No otherwise. The outcome is final when the decision is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.