Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Breakeven Announced0%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Y
Yes
$0 Vol.No
$0 Vol.N
0%0%
0%100%
Rules
General Fusion is the source of the deciding information, through a press release stating that it has achieved a milestone equivalent to scientific breakeven. The outcome is Yes if General Fusion issues such a press release by December 31, 2026 and No otherwise, and it becomes final the day after December 31, 2026, subject to the contract terms.
About
Scientific breakeven in fusion is the point at which a reaction produces at least as much energy as is used to drive it. The measure is whether General Fusion publicly announces, by December 31, 2026, that it has achieved a milestone equivalent to scientific breakeven.