As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:09 pm ET, Lumina’s “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026” market prices ">0.5%" at 99%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The outcome is decided by the year-over-year percent change in the Composite Consumer Price Index for October 2026, as published by Hong Kong's Census and Statistics Department (C&SD) in its monthly CPI release, on the line labeled Composite Consumer Price Index (Year-on-year % change), issued between the 20th and 23rd of the following month at 3:30 PM Hong Kong time (1:30 AM CT, or 2:30 AM CT during daylight saving time). The outcome is Yes if that change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from the value as first published in that release, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The Composite Consumer Price Index tracks the prices consumers in Hong Kong pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The measure is the year-over-year percent change in the Composite Consumer Price Index for October 2026, comparing that month's index level with the level for the same month one year earlier.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026” market ask?
Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026? It lists 5 outcomes, from “>0.5%” to “>2.5%”, and each one trades as its own Yes/No contract.
What are the current odds for “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:09 pm ET, Lumina’s “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026” market prices ">0.5%" at 99%.
What does the price of ">0.5%" mean in the “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:09 pm ET, a Yes contract on ">0.5%" trades at 99¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 99¢ shows as 99%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
When does trading close on “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Nov 20, 2026, 3:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 20, 2026, 5:30 am ET.
How does “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The outcome is decided by the year-over-year percent change in the Composite Consumer Price Index for October 2026, as published by Hong Kong's Census and Statistics Department (C&SD) in its monthly CPI release, on the line labeled Composite Consumer Price Index (Year-on-year % change), issued between the 20th and 23rd of the following month at 3:30 PM Hong Kong time (1:30 AM CT, or 2:30 AM CT during daylight saving time). The outcome is Yes if that change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from the value as first published in that release, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Hong Kong CPI Year-Over-Year Change in October 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
