Chart
Outcomes
Rules
This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Los Angeles station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 13, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.
About
Los Angeles's daily temperature high is the peak air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Los Angeles Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026” market ask?
Los Angeles Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 65” pays $1 if the result is above 65, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 14 thresholds, from “Above 65” to “Above 78”.
How did “Los Angeles Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026” resolve?
The winning outcome is Above 68.
What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?
Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
When does trading close on “Los Angeles Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026”?
Trading closed on Nov 14, 2026, 2:59 am ET.
How does “Los Angeles Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026” resolve, and from which source?
This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Los Angeles station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 13, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
