Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 30296%
Above 29696%
Above 29596%
Above 31096%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 302
8%96%
Above 296
0%96%
Above 295
0%96%
Above 310
0%96%
Above 303
0%95%
Above 309
0%95%
Above 299
0%94%
Above 306
0%94%
Above 297
0%94%
Above 311
0%94%
Above 300
0%93%
Above 298
0%93%
Above 307
0%93%
Above 305
0%92%
Above 304
8%92%
Above 308
0%92%
Above 301
0%90%
Above 312
0%87%
Above 294
0%74%
Above 313
0%34%
Above 315
0%10%
Above 293
0%0%
Above 314
0%0%
Above 316
0%0%
Rules
The Bureau of Labor Statistics determines the outcome using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), specifically the Midwestern US, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The outcome is Yes if the published value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on January 13, 2027, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the unadjusted, all-items CPI for the Midwestern US published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.