The deciding value is the seasonally adjusted annual rate of new single-family home sales (New Houses Sold) published by the US Census Bureau in the New Residential Sales report for October 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported number is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the Census Bureau publishes the report at 9:00 AM CT, typically on the 17th business day of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if the Census Bureau delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is the seasonally adjusted annual rate of new single-family home sales (New Houses Sold) published by the US Census Bureau in the New Residential Sales report for October 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported number is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the Census Bureau publishes the report at 9:00 AM CT, typically on the 17th business day of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if the Census Bureau delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.