New York City Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026?

New York City Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 45” pays $1 if the result is above 45, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 13 thresholds, from “Above 39” to “Above 51”.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:27 pm ET, Lumina’s “New York City Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026” market prices "Above 45" at 93% and "Above 46" at 38%.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:27 pm ET, the prices put the result above 45 but not above 46 at 55%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:27 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 45" trades at 93¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 93¢ shows as 93%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:27 pm ET, open interest is $656, and $1.4K has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 14, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 15, 2026, 3:00 am ET.

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated New York City station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

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Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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