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Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:35 am ET, Lumina’s “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market prices "Below 46" at 95% and "Below 39" at 17%.

Chart

Below 3917%
Below 4016%
Below 3814%
Below 3412%
Oct 15Oct 22Oct 30Nov 7Nov 14
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Below 39
0%17%
Below 40
0%16%
Below 38
0%14%
Below 34
0%12%
Below 36
0%12%
Below 33
0%10%
Below 35
0%10%
Below 37
0%10%
Below 32
0%8%
Below 30
0%7%
Below 31
0%7%
Below 41
0%—
Below 42
0%—
Below 43
0%—
Below 44
0%—
Below 45
0%—
Below 46
0%—

Rules

This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Philadelphia, PA station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.

About

Philadelphia, PA's daily temperature low is the lowest air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Questions and Answers

What does the “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market ask?

Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Below 46” pays $1 if the result is below 46, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 17 thresholds, from “Below 30” to “Below 46”.

What are the current odds for “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:35 am ET, Lumina’s “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market prices "Below 46" at 95% and "Below 39" at 17%.

What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?

Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

How active is the “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:35 am ET, open interest is $418, and $974 has traded in the current session.

When does trading close on “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

Trading closes on Nov 14, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 15, 2026, 3:00 am ET.

How does “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” resolve, and from which source?

This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Philadelphia, PA station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “Philadelphia, PA Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

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