Phoenix Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026?

Phoenix Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 75” pays $1 if the result is above 75, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Above 72” to “Above 82”.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:42 am ET, Lumina’s “Phoenix Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026” market prices "Above 75" at 62% and "Above 76" at 45%.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:42 am ET, the prices put the result above 74 but not above 75 at 17%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:42 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 75" trades at 62¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:42 am ET, open interest is $2.1K, and $4.4K has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 14, 2026, 1:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 am ET.

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Phoenix station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 13, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

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Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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