San Francisco Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026?

San Francisco Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 63” pays $1 if the result is above 63, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Above 59” to “Above 69”.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:18 am ET, Lumina’s “San Francisco Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026” market prices "Above 63" at 75% and "Above 64" at 39%.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:18 am ET, the prices put the result above 63 but not above 64 at 36%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:18 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 63" trades at 75¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 75¢ shows as 75%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:18 am ET, open interest is $399, and $1.1K has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 2:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 15, 2026, 4:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 am ET.

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated San Francisco station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

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Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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