Expiration
Live
Chart
Below 5699%
Below 5589%
Below 5476%
Below 5349%
Oct 2Oct 9Oct 16Oct 24Nov 1
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Below 56
0%99%
Below 55
0%89%
Below 54
0%76%
Below 53
0%49%
Below 51
0%11%
Below 50
0%10%
Below 48
0%8%
Below 49
0%8%
Below 47
0%7%
Below 52
0%—
Below 57
0%—
Rules
This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated San Francisco station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 1, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.
About
San Francisco's daily temperature low is the lowest air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.
