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Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 pm ET, Lumina’s “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026” market prices "Above 55" at 55% and "Above 57" at 15%.

Chart

Above 5395%
Above 5555%
Above 5715%
Above 5810%
Oct 16Oct 23Oct 30Nov 7Nov 15
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 53
0%95%
Above 55
0%55%
Above 57
0%15%
Above 58
0%10%
Above 59
0%8%
Above 49
0%—
Above 50
0%—
Above 51
0%—
Above 52
0%—
Above 54
0%—
Above 56
0%—

Rules

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Seattle, WA station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 15, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.

About

Seattle, WA's daily temperature high is the peak air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.

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Questions and Answers

What does the “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026” market ask?

Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 55” pays $1 if the result is above 55, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Above 49” to “Above 59”.

What are the current odds for “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 pm ET, Lumina’s “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026” market prices "Above 55" at 55% and "Above 57" at 15%.

Which range is most likely for “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 pm ET, the prices put the result above 57 but not above 58 at 5%, the most likely band on the ladder.

What does the price of "Above 55" mean in the “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 55" trades at 55¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 55¢ shows as 55%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

How active is the “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 pm ET, open interest is $30, and $60 has traded in the current session.

When does trading close on “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026”?

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 2:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 16, 2026, 4:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 16, 2026, 6:00 am ET.

How does “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026” resolve, and from which source?

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Seattle, WA station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 15, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “Seattle, WA Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

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