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Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:27 pm ET, Lumina’s “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026” market prices "Above 18" at 74% and "Above 19" at 32%.

Chart

Above 1799%
Above 1874%
Above 1932%
Above 2013%
Oct 16Oct 23Oct 30Nov 7Nov 15
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 17
0%99%
Above 18
0%74%
Above 19
0%32%
Above 20
0%13%
Above 21
0%8%
Above 22
0%6%
Above 14
0%—
Above 15
0%—
Above 16
0%—

Rules

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Sydney station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 16, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.

About

Sydney's daily temperature high is the peak air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Celsius.

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Questions and Answers

What does the “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026” market ask?

Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 18” pays $1 if the result is above 18, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 9 thresholds, from “Above 14” to “Above 22”.

What are the current odds for “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:27 pm ET, Lumina’s “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026” market prices "Above 18" at 74% and "Above 19" at 32%.

Which range is most likely for “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:27 pm ET, the prices put the result above 18 but not above 19 at 42%, the most likely band on the ladder.

What does the price of "Above 18" mean in the “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:27 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 18" trades at 74¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 74¢ shows as 74%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

When does trading close on “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026”?

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 7:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 16, 2026, 9:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 16, 2026, 11:00 am ET.

How does “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026” resolve, and from which source?

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Sydney station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 16, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “Sydney Daily Temperature High on November 16, 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

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