Tokyo Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026?

Tokyo Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 15” pays $1 if the result is above 15, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 9 thresholds, from “Above 12” to “Above 20”.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 pm ET, Lumina’s “Tokyo Daily Temperature High on November 15, 2026” market prices "Above 15" at 92% and "Above 17" at 8%.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 pm ET, the prices put the result above 17 but not above 18 at 2%, the most likely band on the ladder.

Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:22 pm ET, open interest is $90, and $370 has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 9:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 15, 2026, 11:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 15, 2026, 1:00 pm ET.

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Tokyo station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 15, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

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Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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