The outcome is decided by the Rail Freight Carloads value for October 2026 in the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Transportation Services Index and Seasonally-Adjusted Transportation Data release, taken from the matching column of that dataset. The outcome is Yes if that figure is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined when BTS releases the index, typically at 8:00 AM CT in the second week of the month, about two months after October 2026. Early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the Rail Freight Carloads value for October 2026 in the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Transportation Services Index and Seasonally-Adjusted Transportation Data release, taken from the matching column of that dataset. The outcome is Yes if that figure is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined when BTS releases the index, typically at 8:00 AM CT in the second week of the month, about two months after October 2026. Early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.