Skip to main content

UT Austin in-state tuition in 2026?

Chart

Above 11,250—
Above 11,500—
Above 11,750—
Above 12,000—
Oct 14Oct 21Oct 29Nov 6Nov 13
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 11,250
4%—
Above 11,500
6%—
Above 11,750
0%—
Above 12,000
7%—
Above 12,250
0%—
Above 12,500
0%—

Rules

The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) publishes the deciding data through the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) Institutional Characteristics Survey, shown in the NCES College Navigator under Tuition, Fees, and Estimated Student Expenses, and the deciding value is the in-state tuition for the University of Texas at Austin. NCES reports each academic year as a two-year range, and the year in the market question refers to the second year of that range, so 2026 means the 2025-2026 academic year. The outcome is Yes if the reported value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the preliminary (provisional) figure from the Winter IPEDS release is used, and later revisions, corrections, or final IPEDS releases do not affect the outcome. The outcome is determined when NCES releases that Winter IPEDS data, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Tuition is the price a college charges for instruction before financial aid, and public universities charge a lower in-state rate to students who are residents of their state. The measure is the in-state tuition at the University of Texas at Austin for a given academic year, in US dollars.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Questions and Answers

What does the “UT Austin in-state tuition in 2026” market ask?

UT Austin in-state tuition in 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 11,250” pays $1 if the result is above 11,250, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 6 thresholds, from “Above 11,250” to “Above 12,500”.

What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?

Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

How active is the “UT Austin in-state tuition in 2026” market?

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:25 am ET, open interest is $14K, and $16 has traded in the current session.

When does trading close on “UT Austin in-state tuition in 2026”?

Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Dec 9, 2026, 8:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Dec 9, 2026, 10:00 am ET.

How does “UT Austin in-state tuition in 2026” resolve, and from which source?

The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) publishes the deciding data through the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) Institutional Characteristics Survey, shown in the NCES College Navigator under Tuition, Fees, and Estimated Student Expenses, and the deciding value is the in-state tuition for the University of Texas at Austin. NCES reports each academic year as a two-year range, and the year in the market question refers to the second year of that range, so 2026 means the 2025-2026 academic year. The outcome is Yes if the reported value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the preliminary (provisional) figure from the Winter IPEDS release is used, and later revisions, corrections, or final IPEDS releases do not affect the outcome. The outcome is determined when NCES releases that Winter IPEDS data, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is National Center for Education Statistics.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “UT Austin in-state tuition in 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

© 2026 Lumina Markets Inc.