As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 pm ET, Lumina’s “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026” market prices "Above 338" at 54% and "Above 340" at 38%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The outcome is determined using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically the Washington, D.C., all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The deciding number is the index level for the month, not a percent change. The outcome is Yes if that index level is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on December 10, 2026, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the Washington, D.C. CPI index level, unadjusted and for all items, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026” market ask?
Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 338” pays $1 if the result is above 338, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 25 thresholds, from “Above 304” to “Above 352”.
What are the current odds for “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 pm ET, Lumina’s “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026” market prices "Above 338" at 54% and "Above 340" at 38%.
How have the odds moved for “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 pm ET, "Above 338" is at 54%, up 4 points from the prior trading day’s close.
Which range is most likely for “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 pm ET, the prices put the result above 336 but not above 338 at 24%, the most likely band on the ladder.
What does the price of "Above 338" mean in the “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 338" trades at 54¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 54¢ shows as 54%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
How active is the “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:35 pm ET, open interest is $3.9K.
When does trading close on “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Dec 10, 2026, 8:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Dec 10, 2026, 10:30 am ET.
How does “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The outcome is determined using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically the Washington, D.C., all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The deciding number is the index level for the month, not a percent change. The outcome is Yes if that index level is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on December 10, 2026, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution. The resolution source is Bureau of Labor Statistics.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Washington, D.C. CPI in November 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
