Expiration
Chart
Below 4818%
Below 4912%
Below 459%
Below 478%
Oct 11Oct 18Oct 26Nov 2Nov 10
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Below 48
12%18%
Below 49
36%12%
Below 45
0%9%
Below 47
6%8%
Below 42
0%7%
Below 43
0%7%
Below 44
0%7%
Below 46
0%7%
Below 40
0%6%
Below 41
0%6%
Below 50
0%—
Below 51
0%—
Below 52
0%—
Rules
This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Washington, D.C. station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 9, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.
About
Washington, D.C.'s daily temperature low is the lowest air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.
