Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the official daily settlement price of the front-month WTI crude oil futures contract for November 3, 2026; the front-month contract is the nearest-to-expiration listed contract, used through and including its final settlement date. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the settlement value published for that trading day counts, and later revisions to settlement data or settlement values for other contract months are not considered. The outcome is determined at 11:55 PM CT on November 3, 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
WTI crude oil is a globally traded commodity, and a futures contract on it is an agreement to buy or sell a set amount at a set price on a future date. The measure is the price of WTI crude oil on November 3, 2026, taken as the official daily settlement price of the front-month, or nearest expiring, WTI crude oil futures contract.
