WTI Crude Oil Price on November 16, 2026?

WTI Crude Oil Price on November 16, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 89” pays $1 if the result is above 89, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 15 thresholds, from “Above 81” to “Above 95”.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:27 pm ET, Lumina’s “WTI Crude Oil Price on November 16, 2026” market prices "Above 89" at 55% and "Above 90" at 36%.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:27 pm ET, the prices put the result above 88 but not above 89 at 19%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:27 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 89" trades at 55¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 55¢ shows as 55%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 2:30 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 17, 2026, 12:55 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 17, 2026, 2:55 am ET.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the official daily settlement price of the front-month WTI crude oil futures contract for November 16, 2026; the front-month contract is the nearest-to-expiration listed contract, used through and including its final settlement date. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the settlement value published for that trading day counts, and later revisions to settlement data or settlement values for other contract months are not considered. The outcome is determined at 11:55 PM CT on November 16, 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is ForecastEx.

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.