Who Will Win the Alaska Governor Race?
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 · 10:22 PM ET
78%
Jonathan S. Kreiss-Tomkins
Democratic
23%
Bernadette M. Wilson
Republican
Also listed: Dave Bronson (R) 10%
Also on the ballot, no market: Treg Taylor (R)
- Office
- Governor
- Held by
- Republican
- Incumbent
- Mike Dunleavy · Term-limited
- Election
- November 3, 2026
All Candidates
3 candidates, each with a separate contract.
| Candidate | Chance | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan S. Kreiss-TomkinsDemocratic | 78%78¢ | Trade |
| Bernadette M. WilsonRepublican | 23%23¢ | Trade |
| Dave BronsonRepublican | 10%10¢ | Trade |
Other Governor Races
35 races by where the market prices each leader, alphabetical within each rating.
- ArizonaHobbs90%
- CaliforniaBecerra97%Open seat
- ColoradoWeiser97%Open seat
- ConnecticutLamont98%
- HawaiiGreen98%
- IllinoisPritzker99%
- IowaSand87%Open seat
- MainePingree91%Open seat
- MarylandMoore99%
- MassachusettsHealey99%
- MichiganBenson92%Open seat
- MinnesotaKlobuchar97%Open seat
- New MexicoHaaland96%Open seat
- New YorkHochul96%
- PennsylvaniaShapiro99%
- Rhode IslandFoulkes97%Open seat
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 · 10:22 PM ET. Percentages are the last traded Yes price of each contract on ForecastEx, captured at the time shown: a contract at 55¢ shows as 55%. A price is what the market is paying, not a forecast or a recommendation. Races are grouped by price and listed alphabetically; the closest-race lists are ordered by distance from 50%. Neither order ranks one party above another.
Race facts (which seats and candidates are on the ballot, and which party holds each seat) are reference data reviewed by Lumina Markets and are not market data. Candidate names are the contract titles as listed on the exchange.