The deciding value is the US national average domestic airline itinerary fare for Q4 2026, as stated in the second paragraph of the quarterly average air fare release in the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Average Passenger Fares data. The outcome is Yes if the reported average is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 10:00 AM CT when BTS publishes the data, typically on the third Tuesday about three months after Q4 2026 ends. Early resolution does not apply, and if BTS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is the US national average domestic airline itinerary fare for Q4 2026, as stated in the second paragraph of the quarterly average air fare release in the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Average Passenger Fares data. The outcome is Yes if the reported average is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 10:00 AM CT when BTS publishes the data, typically on the third Tuesday about three months after Q4 2026 ends. Early resolution does not apply, and if BTS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.