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BTC highest price by 2026?

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:17 am ET, Lumina’s “BTC highest price by 2026” market prices "Above 100,000" at 8%.

Chart

Above 100,0008%
Above 120,0007%
Above 130,0007%
Above 140,0007%
Oct 14Oct 21Oct 29Nov 6Nov 13
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 100,000
1%8%
Above 120,000
3%7%
Above 130,000
0%7%
Above 140,000
0%7%
Above 200,000
2%7%
Above 110,000
1%6%
Above 150,000
4%6%

Rules

CF Benchmarks publishes the deciding data through its Real-Time Index for Bitcoin. For each minute of the period specified in the market question, all index values for that minute are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% are removed, and the remaining 60% are averaged to give a trimmed mean price; the deciding value is the highest of these per-minute prices during the period. The outcome is Yes if that price is above the value specified in the market question at any point during the period and No otherwise. Early resolution applies, so the outcome can be decided as soon as the price crosses that value; otherwise the value becomes final at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of the period, and if the index data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Bitcoin's price moves continuously across global exchanges throughout each day. The event is the highest benchmark price of BTC in US dollars reached at any point during a set period, measured minute by minute as a trimmed mean price.

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Questions and Answers

What does the “BTC highest price by 2026” market ask?

BTC highest price by 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 100,000” pays $1 if the result is above 100,000, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 7 thresholds, from “Above 100,000” to “Above 200,000”.

What are the current odds for “BTC highest price by 2026”?

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:17 am ET, Lumina’s “BTC highest price by 2026” market prices "Above 100,000" at 8%.

How have the odds moved for “BTC highest price by 2026”?

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:17 am ET, "Above 100,000" is at 8%, up 1 point from the prior trading day’s close.

Which range is most likely for “BTC highest price by 2026”?

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:17 am ET, the prices put the result above 100,000 but not above 110,000 at 2%, the most likely band on the ladder.

What does the price of "Above 100,000" mean in the “BTC highest price by 2026” market?

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:17 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 100,000" trades at 8¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 8¢ shows as 8%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

How active is the “BTC highest price by 2026” market?

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:17 am ET, open interest is $1.3M, and $1K has traded in the current session.

When does trading close on “BTC highest price by 2026”?

Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Jan 1, 2027, 12:59 am ET, and payout is projected for Jan 1, 2027, 2:59 am ET.

How does “BTC highest price by 2026” resolve, and from which source?

CF Benchmarks publishes the deciding data through its Real-Time Index for Bitcoin. For each minute of the period specified in the market question, all index values for that minute are collected, the highest 20% and lowest 20% are removed, and the remaining 60% are averaged to give a trimmed mean price; the deciding value is the highest of these per-minute prices during the period. The outcome is Yes if that price is above the value specified in the market question at any point during the period and No otherwise. Early resolution applies, so the outcome can be decided as soon as the price crosses that value; otherwise the value becomes final at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of the period, and if the index data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is CF Benchmarks.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “BTC highest price by 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

© 2026 Lumina Markets Inc.