Chart
Outcomes
Rules
ICE Futures Europe publishes the deciding data, which is the official daily settlement price of the front-month ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures contract for December 31, 2026, shown under Price in the Settle columns of the ICE End of Day Report for B-Brent Crude Future; the front-month contract is the nearest-to-expiration listed contract that has not reached its final settlement date, as specified in ICE's published contract calendar. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the settlement value published for that trading day counts, and later revisions to settlement data or settlement values for other contract months are not considered. The outcome is determined when ICE Futures Europe publishes the daily settlement for December 31, 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
Brent crude oil is a globally traded commodity, and a futures contract on it is an agreement to buy or sell a set amount at a set price on a future date. The measure is the price of Brent crude oil on December 31, 2026, taken as the official daily settlement price of the front-month, or nearest expiring, Brent crude oil futures contract.
