IMF PortWatch and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) publish the deciding data. The condition is decided first, solely by the final result of the Hormuz Normalization product (SHNOR), which uses the daily vessel transit counts at the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF PortWatch in its Port Monitor; traffic returns to normal when the 7-day moving average for any day after April 1, 2026 and before April 1, 2027 exceeds 60 ships. If the condition is met, positions continue automatically and the outcome is decided by the US regular gasoline price, in dollars per gallon, in the EIA weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update for the week specified in the market question: Yes if that price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when EIA publishes that update, normally on Tuesday at 9:00 AM CT, or Wednesday when Tuesday is a federal holiday, and early resolution does not apply. If the deciding data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. If the condition is not met, there is no Yes or No outcome: all positions are closed out at the price paid to acquire them, with no gain or loss, and transaction fees are not refunded.

IMF PortWatch and the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) publish the deciding data. The condition is decided first, solely by the final result of the Hormuz Normalization product (SHNOR), which uses the daily vessel transit counts at the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF PortWatch in its Port Monitor; traffic returns to normal when the 7-day moving average for any day after April 1, 2026 and before April 1, 2027 exceeds 60 ships. If the condition is met, positions continue automatically and the outcome is decided by the US regular gasoline price, in dollars per gallon, in the EIA weekly Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update for the week specified in the market question: Yes if that price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when EIA publishes that update, normally on Tuesday at 9:00 AM CT, or Wednesday when Tuesday is a federal holiday, and early resolution does not apply. If the deciding data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. If the condition is not met, there is no Yes or No outcome: all positions are closed out at the price paid to acquire them, with no gain or loss, and transaction fees are not refunded.