Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%

Statistics Canada publishes the deciding data in its quarterly release "Gross domestic product, income and expenditure" for Q3 2026, and the deciding value is real GDP growth for that quarter, measured as the quarter-over-quarter growth rate. The outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The release is typically published at 7:30 AM CT on the last business day of the second month after the quarter ends, the value becomes final when it is published, and early resolution does not apply. If the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
Real GDP is the inflation-adjusted value of the final goods and services an economy produces. The event is the real GDP growth of Canada for Q3 2026, measured as the quarter-over-quarter growth rate.

Statistics Canada publishes the deciding data in its quarterly release "Gross domestic product, income and expenditure" for Q3 2026, and the deciding value is real GDP growth for that quarter, measured as the quarter-over-quarter growth rate. The outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The release is typically published at 7:30 AM CT on the last business day of the second month after the quarter ends, the value becomes final when it is published, and early resolution does not apply. If the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
Real GDP is the inflation-adjusted value of the final goods and services an economy produces. The event is the real GDP growth of Canada for Q3 2026, measured as the quarter-over-quarter growth rate.