Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The outcome is determined using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically the Chicago, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The deciding number is the index level for the month, not a percent change. The outcome is Yes if that index level is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on March 10, 2027, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.
About
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the Chicago CPI index level, unadjusted and for all items, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
