As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:11 am ET, Lumina’s “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026” market prices Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG) at 40%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
S&P Global publishes the deciding information through its official index press releases, which are typically issued after market close. The outcome is Yes if a press release states that Cheniere Energy (LNG) will join the S&P 500 with an effective date on or before the last day of 2026, and No otherwise. The outcome becomes final at 8:00 AM CT on the day after 2026 ends, and it may be determined earlier once a qualifying press release is published. If the press release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The S&P 500 is a stock index of large US companies, and its membership is updated periodically as companies are added and removed. The measure is whether Cheniere Energy (LNG) is added to the index, with the addition taking effect by the end of 2026.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026” market ask?
Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026? The leaders are Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG), LPL Financial Holdings Inc (LPLA) and HEICO Corp (HEI), among 13 outcomes, and each one trades as its own Yes/No contract.
What are the current odds for “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:11 am ET, Lumina’s “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026” market prices Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG) at 40%.
How have the odds moved for “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:11 am ET, Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG) is at 40%, up 1 point from the prior trading day’s close.
What does the price of Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG) mean in the “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:11 am ET, a Yes contract on Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG) trades at 40¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 40¢ shows as 40%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
How active is the “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:11 am ET, open interest is $238, and $10 has traded in the current session.
When does trading close on “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Dec 31, 2026, 9:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Dec 31, 2026, 11:00 am ET.
How does “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026” resolve, and from which source?
S&P Global publishes the deciding information through its official index press releases, which are typically issued after market close. The outcome is Yes if a press release states that Cheniere Energy (LNG) will join the S&P 500 with an effective date on or before the last day of 2026, and No otherwise. The outcome becomes final at 8:00 AM CT on the day after 2026 ends, and it may be determined earlier once a qualifying press release is published. If the press release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is S&P Global.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Cheniere Energy (LNG) Added to the S&P 500 by the End of 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
