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Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 11:43 am ET, Lumina’s “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market prices "Below 51" at 92% and "Below 48" at 29%.

Chart

Below 4829%
Below 4613%
Below 4712%
Below 4311%
Oct 15Oct 22Oct 30Nov 7Nov 14
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Below 48
0%29%
Below 46
0%13%
Below 47
0%12%
Below 43
0%11%
Below 42
0%9%
Below 44
0%8%
Below 45
0%8%
Below 49
0%—
Below 50
0%—
Below 51
0%—
Below 52
0%—

Rules

This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Dallas station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.

About

Dallas's daily temperature low is the lowest air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Questions and Answers

What does the “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market ask?

Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Below 51” pays $1 if the result is below 51, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Below 42” to “Below 52”.

What are the current odds for “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 11:43 am ET, Lumina’s “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market prices "Below 51" at 92% and "Below 48" at 29%.

What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?

Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

How active is the “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 11:43 am ET, open interest is $254, and $608 has traded in the current session.

When does trading close on “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 12:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 15, 2026, 2:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 15, 2026, 4:00 am ET.

How does “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” resolve, and from which source?

This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Dallas station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

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